Why I won't be buying a Hybrid car

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Doug
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Re: The Twikes are coming!!!!

Post by Doug »

From the Twike.us website:
"We are preparing to import the first new TWIKEs to the USA in the spring of 2006."

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The Twike.us website used to be asking for someone to help facilitate negotiations with the Department of Transportation to import Twikes. Now they are requesting help in negotiating with the Canadians. So it may be that they have finally cleared the hurdles and can import Twikes.
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Dardedar
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Post by Dardedar »

Now that is a damn fine looking transport.
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Post by Tamara »

Meet the new official model for Pukkas
Image[/img]
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Post by Betsy »

re: twikes - sounds more like they're giving up on the US and trying for Canada. It looks cool, but I don't like three-wheeler things, too unstable. Plus, where do you put your STUFF?

re: that fine speciman of a male model on the pukka - woo hoo!
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Post by Dardedar »

Betsy wrote:re: twikes - sounds more like they're giving up on the US and trying for Canada. It looks cool, but I don't like three-wheeler things, too unstable.
DAR
Normally that is a problem with three wheeled things. But the Twike has several hundred pounds of batteries located low and between the back tires. This is supposed to make it very stable. Supposed to be really fun to drive and it goes about 50.

I've out fitted my Pukka with a ringer for safety while in traffic. As you can see, storage is rather limited on it too.

D.
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Post by Barbara Fitzpatrick »

I'm with Betsy - Where do you put your stuff? Also, how much do these babies run? And how far and how fast?
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Twike Stats

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Barbara Fitzpatrick wrote:I'm with Betsy - Where do you put your stuff? Also, how much do these babies run? And how far and how fast?
Image

Range on a single charge: About 80 miles.
Speed: About 50 mph.
Cost: About $20,000.

It seats two. If you are by yourself, your stuff can go in the other seat, or in some of the space around back. Promotional literature says the Twike can carry 2 persons plus about 100 lbs of cargo.
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Post by Dardedar »

Barbara Fitzpatrick wrote:I'm with Betsy - Where do you put your stuff?
DAR
I think there is a spot in the back, but it's probably pretty small.
BARB
Also, how much do these babies run? And how far and how fast?
DAR
Here is the blurb from our American Freedom mythbuster board:

"With pedal and electric power it has a maximum range of 55 miles and a top speed of 55mph. It's at least 20 times more efficient than any gas powered car. The Twike gets the equivalent of 300+ miles from the energy in one gallon of gas. In London TWIKE owners don't pay road tax and can park and charge for free! Available in Europe for over ten years. Cost, about US $18,000"

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Post by Savonarola »

Doug, since NiCads are notorious for their "memory effect," does the Twike have features to prevent resultant problems?
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Post by Doug »

Savonarola wrote:Doug, since NiCads are notorious for their "memory effect," does the Twike have features to prevent resultant problems?
DOUG
I don't know. "Replace batteries periodically"?
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High School Students Create Hybrid Car

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DOUG
Look how hard it is to make a pedal/electric hybrid car.

http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercuryn ... 286206.htm
===========================

Roseville students design pedal-solar hybrid
Associated Press
ROSEVILLE, Mich. - Students at a suburban Detroit high school have designed a four-wheel hybrid vehicle. Unlike conventional hybrids, it supplements its electric motor with pedal power, not a gasoline engine.

The Roseville High School students got their inspiration from a poster of Ford Motor Co. founder Henry Ford's 1896 Quadracycle that hangs on the wall of their drafting and shop class.

The students spent months building their own version. It has four bicycle wheels with pedals and two 9-foot bike chains propelling the rear wheels. It also has battery-powered front-wheel drive and a solar-paneled roof to recharge the batteries.
=================
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Post by Savonarola »

Doug wrote:I don't know. "Replace batteries periodically"?
That's a really expensive recharge...
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Post by Betsy »

especially with these newfangled things. I accidentally left the key in the "on" position whilst storing my scooter in my mom's garage over the winter, and ran the battery completely out of power. I expected to pay $30 or so for a new one, and was shocked when it was $95. Because it's a GEL battery, which can lie on its side. Sheeshk!
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Post by Dardedar »

DAR
Barbara, you said this back in March, in this thread:
Barbara Fitzpatrick wrote:1) the standard gasoline engine is about 20% efficient at turning fuel into work - the rest is waste heat - while the standard electrical plant (coal, oil, gas) is closer to 80% efficient with 20% waste heat. That's why the enviros push electrics, even if you have to use dirty electricity to power them. Also the equivalent power coming from 1 power plant (which scrubbers or other emission controls) is thousands of individual tailpipe with little to no emission controls.
DAR
I was pleased to hear this because it went along with my love of electricity as a power source for vehicles. But I was sitting with some physicists at a table last night and they were all saying powerplants operate at about 30% efficiency. So I checked and found this:

From the Department of Energy:

"Today’s plants convert only a third of coal’s energy potential to electricity."

http://www.energy.gov/energysources/electricpower.htm

Am I missing something?

D.
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Post by Barbara Fitzpatrick »

My stats (which I admit came from a biology prof and not physics profs) were an average of at that time (1980s) capability of all types of plants. Reality unfortunately, thank you all the pols who have grandfathered inefficiency, is a lot lower for coal plants. Gas and petroleum plants (at least at the time) averaged 90% effiency, and if you subtract maintence downtime, so do the nukes (nukes run about 40% if you add in maintenance downtime). There is a coal technology called "fluidized beds" that runs at about 80%, but while it is an existing technology (been around since the 80s), there are very few of them out there - more expensive up front, and why spend more up front just be cause it's more efficient and will make more money in the long term? (And the DOE stats can't be including them, since they don't consider them to be "conventional" coal plants.)

Of course, my biology prof and your physicists may have been using different meanings for the word "efficiency" (for instance if my prof meant conversion of fuel to electricity (gross efficiency), and your physicists meant conversion of fuel to electricity minus the energy required to run the plant (net efficiency) that would make a big difference). If that's the case, we are subsidizing the energy industry' inefficency worse than I thought - and that was bad enough. [Solar cells have very low efficiency when that is determined by how much electricity they make compared to how much sunlight hits them, but since the sunlight is free (and is not affected by how much of it is turned into electricity) solar cells are still a very good deal.] However, coal is currently our most abundant source of electricity, which brings the rate of savings way down, but 33% efficiency is still better than 20%, just not as good as 80% - 80% is within our grasp in current technology (or even 20-year-old technology), but requires political means to bring it about.
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Efficiency

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DAR
"Today’s plants convert only a third of coal’s energy potential to electricity."

http://www.energy.gov/energysources/electricpower.htm

Am I missing something?

D.
DOUG
"Electric motors consume 64 percent of the electricity produced in this country" said one website.

But as far as the motor itself goes, look at this:

========
We're working on a project with a client who claims he can get a cheap 250 hp motor with an efficiency of 88.5 percent. Is that a good deal?

Answer:
I've looked at the default performance values in MotorMaster+ software. A 250 hp standard efficiency motor has a pretty good efficiency—on the order of 94.2%. A typical or generic NEMA Premium Efficiency motor would have an efficiency of 96.3%.
===========

energyexperts.org link

DOUG
I'm not very interested in the efficiency of the electric power plant. The future is: we will use solar cells, wind power, or some other on-site power source to recharge spare electric batteries at home and then switch out spent batteries from our electric cars when we get home at the end of the day. We won't be at that point for many years, but I think it is the most efficient and attainable goal regarding transportation.

Edited by Savonarola 14Apr2006 1342: shortened link
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Post by Barbara Fitzpatrick »

I hope I made it clear that I was talking about internal combustion engines - not motors. Motors are very efficient, which is why it uses less fuel to have one powered by batteries than by gasoline.

Doug, I wish you were right about on-site power generators, but most people are unwilling to do the maintenance required, especially if they can stay on some sort of grid and let someone else do the maintenance. What I expect is more local (regional generation solar, wind, or biomass systems), but not that local (on-site systems). The closest to on-site systems I can see are fuel cells - but they run off hydrogen, currently attained from natural gas, so it's just a different grid. The vaunted American "independence" is largely Hollywood myth. Independence is too much like work (and that's whether you're talking about researching your candidates before election, sorting the recycling, whatever).
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Post by Dardedar »

Barbara Fitzpatrick wrote:My stats (which I admit came from a biology prof and not physics profs) were an average of at that time (1980s) capability of all types of plants.
DAR
Okay, I have done some checking and it seems there are at least four ways of addressing the issue of "powerplant efficiency."
There is the actual, raw, convertion of fuel (coal/oil/nat. gas) to electricity. This is what I am interested in and I am quite sure this is what the physicists were speaking of (but they may have been adding in some of the overhead of a powerplant).

Then there are these three (from the Nuclear Energy Institute (consider the source). Actually, the lines are not quite as neat as I have drawn them here when I say four ways....

***
Comparative Measures of Power Plant Efficiency

Economic Efficiency is the most important measure of efficiency because it measures how a plant uses scarce resources and what the value of those resources is. Economic Efficiency is measured using production cost. Production cost is the cost of operating the plant—including fuel, labor, materials, and services—to produce one kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity. Nuclear power has the lowest production cost of the major sources of electricity, with production cost of 1.68 cents/kWh. Coal has a cost of 1.9 cents/kWh, natural gas 5.87 cents/kWh, and petroleum 5.39 cents/kWh. Hydro has a production cost of 0.5 cents/kWh, wind .2 cents/kWh and solar 2.48 cents/kWh.


Operational Efficiency measures how efficiently a plant’s capacity to produce electricity is utilized. Operational Efficiency is measured using a measure called capacity factor. Capacity factor is the ratio of the total electricity that a plant produced during a year compared to the total potential electricity that would have been produced if the plant operated at 100 percent power during every hour of the year. It is essentially the percentage of electricity that a plant produced compared to the electricity that it could have produced operating constantly at peak output. Nuclear plants typically have the highest capacity factor of any generating source with capacity factors of about 90 percent. Fossil fueled plants have lower capacity factors; coal typically has around a 70 percent capacity factor, natural gas plants of different types can vary from 14 percent to 50 percent capacity factors. Many renewables have low capacity factors. Wind and solar generation typically average around 15 to 30 percent capacity factors.


Energy Efficiency measures the amount of energy in the raw fuel needed to produce a specified amount of electricity. These fuels include natural gas, coal, oil, and uranium for nuclear energy. Energy Efficiency is measured using a measure called the heat rate. The heat rate is the amount of energy (Btu) in the fuel needed to produce one kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity. The lower the heat rate the more energy efficient a plant is. Plants that use a steam cycle such as coal, nuclear energy, and some natural gas plants tend to have heat rates of around 10,000 Btu/kWh. Some natural gas plants using the combined cycle technology have heat rates of around 7,500 Btu/kWh. Heat rate is not applicable for wind and solar plants, since they do not use fuel in the traditional sense of the word.

BARB
Reality unfortunately, thank you all the pols who have grandfathered inefficiency, is a lot lower for coal plants. Gas and petroleum plants (at least at the time) averaged 90% effiency,...
DAR
I am 99% certain that gas and petroleum plants have never come even close 90% efficiency with regard to the type of "efficiency" I am interested in. Converting the total "potential energy" of a fuel, to electricty. No way. As I quoted above from the DOE:

"Today’s plants convert only a third of coal’s energy potential to electricity."

They then speak of hopefully in a decade or two of maybe being able to double that. Maybe.
BARB
Of course, my biology prof and your physicists may have been using different meanings for the word "efficiency" (for instance if my prof meant conversion of fuel to electricity (gross efficiency), and your physicists meant conversion of fuel to electricity minus the energy required to run the plant (net efficiency) that would make a big difference).
DAR
Yes, I think that explains the difference.

Plus, now that I think about it. A powerplant is doing perhaps two conversions whereas a car is only doing one. All little variables asside, a car burns fuel and turns a crank (kinetic energy?). One conversion. A powerplant burns a fuel and turns a crank and then converts it again via a generator, to electricity. I am not sure if there is some loss due to inefficiencies in generators too. I do know that when ever you convert, you lose (usually via heat).

Fascinating.

D.
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Re: Efficiency

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DOUG
I'm not very interested in the efficiency of the electric power plant. The future is: we will use solar cells, wind power, or some other on-site power source to recharge spare electric batteries at home and then switch out spent batteries from our electric cars when we get home at the end of the day.
DAR
I think we will have some of that in our lifetime. Especially if we have some big break throughs in the efficiency of solar panels. But I think we will mainly have powerplants driving things for a long time. Another big area we need a break in is super, (or near super), conductivity. If we could attain that, at least for the really large long distance powerlines, it would save us some. Actually, I just checked. It's not that much. Wiki had this:

"Transmission and distribution losses in the USA were estimated at 7.2% in 1995"

LINK

DOUG
We won't be at that point for many years, but I think it is the most efficient and attainable goal regarding transportation.
DAR
Right now an approximate 2' by 3' solar panel that generates about 100 watts costs about $500 or more. I think. It use to be around $1,000. One hundred watts is diddly. My hottub pulls 5,000 watts so it would take 50 of these babies at a cost of $25,000 plus the land to place them on, plus overhead, maintenance and interest, just to heat one tub. Plus I need the power in the winter when the sun is the weakest! Well, I guess you could go with slower heating times or something.

The Honda Hybrid I drove had a 15,000 watt electric motor assist. An electric car would typically have a much larger one (I think). That's a lot of solar panels too.

We have a ways to go. I don't think on site solar is going to power us the way we are burning up the electricity. We need to change our ways.

D.

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Cree Movie

Post by Doug »

DOUG
Just for fun, check out the little movie of the Cree electric car in action.

You need Quicktime for this one.

Cree!

There are more pictures and movies here:

http://www.cree.ch/

Image
"We could have done something important Max. We could have fought child abuse or Republicans!" --Oona Hart (played by Victoria Foyt), in the 1995 movie "Last Summer in the Hamptons."
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